Classic-Voting
0xe956fa8429b4512d058061bfc2b20d5e954c1cdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$54.50
Total PnL
$-125.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 18.4¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
34 shares @ 29.1¢·now 31.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$9.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$9.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$4.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$9.99Jul 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?$5.13Jul 15, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?$10.11Jul 15, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?$10.18Jul 15, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.28Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND France to score first vs. Morocco?$10.00Jul 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$10.19Jul 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.49Jul 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$10.00Jul 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals$10.27Jul 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$10.13Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$8.20Jun 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.