Beautiful-Blackboard
0xe95f74d1457af3376e98b962739b09fcef521a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$606.81
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
1990 shares @ 33.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$606.81
$-51.08
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
18874 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?
6315 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2000 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-389.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-56.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2000 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-590.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2000 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-495.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
900 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-24.69
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.13Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?$481.24Jun 28, 21:39 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.26Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.32Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?$111.99Jun 20, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$75.15Jun 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$16.20Jun 19, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$32.21Jun 19, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?$8.85Jun 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?$8.85Jun 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?$9.85Jun 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?$9.25Jun 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?$4.53Jun 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$40.03Jun 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$52.61Jun 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$52.61Jun 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$52.61Jun 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$52.61Jun 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 18?$275.77Jun 18, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$52.55Jun 18, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $172.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.