Elaborate-Surroundings
0xe9603e373c8dc1c938425d94571d983825e3a33f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-36.18
Realised
$-1.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$200.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
550 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?
542 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
331 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
310 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will 'Eldest Daughter' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
260 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
240 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.08
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on May 23?
193 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
70 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$199.00Mar 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$258.51Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$259.22Mar 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$4.95Mar 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$10.47Mar 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$14.10Mar 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$399.20Mar 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$399.60Mar 12, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?$180.00Nov 22, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.55Nov 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$7.70Nov 11, 15:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$158.56Oct 31, 07:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 31, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$158.72Oct 30, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Danny Lee win the 2025 LIV Golf UK tournament?$330.00Oct 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Eldest Daughter' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?$1.30Oct 6, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$3.22Aug 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danny Lee win the 2025 LIV Golf UK tournament?$329.67Jul 24, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?$179.46Jul 10, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $447.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".