Mild-Welfare
0xe964f985d3da0f173c492d510fc9f6a57fd303cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
10000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.9K
- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
10000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- UNDER
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5
7094 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
770 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-516.16
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.61Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$44.93Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.45Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.85Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$1.6KJun 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$521.27Jun 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$521.19Jun 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$243.89Jun 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$242.48Jun 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$706.05Jun 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$492.84Jun 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$203.29Jun 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1.4KJun 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.4KJun 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$92.90Jun 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$548.91Jun 15, 17:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$48.17Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$7.0KJun 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$7.5KJun 14, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$57.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
62%
Window
Jun 13, 19:20 UTC → Jun 14, 20:24 UTC
- SELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$7.7K@45¢Jun 14, 20:24 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.7K
1 trades
Buy share
62%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
$30.7K · 53% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.