Pessimistic-Formicarium
0xe96ae193966d1743dbb86a2971e6bfd6cf99fae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Fulham wins the Premier League?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- KINGS
Magic vs. Kings
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?$18.00Feb 7, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?$20.00Feb 6, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Kings$14.00Feb 6, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFulham wins the Premier League?$18.00Feb 6, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$15.00Feb 5, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $17.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".