Constant-Ephemera
0xe96c0075010f0e1ef0eb43a953ffc215cd4628db
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$136.14
Total PnL
$-95.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$126.04
$26.04
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
22 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?$2.059d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.039d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?$1.0026d ago
- REDEEMWho will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?$1.3326d ago
- REDEEMWho will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?$1.4526d ago
- REDEEMDota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B$1.5226d ago
- REDEEMWho will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?$1.7226d ago
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B$1.8526d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.0043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitality$1.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$1.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.0044d ago
- REDEEMBLAST Open: MOUZ vs. FURIA$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$0.0048d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 82d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
