Gracious-Signup
0xe96ebbe149e117b1c272596e1a39dde27c028672
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?$0.00Mar 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Mar 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Mar 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?$25.00Feb 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?$20.00Feb 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$20.00Feb 24, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?$20.00Feb 24, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?$20.00Feb 24, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?$104.77Feb 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $85.00Feb 23, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$100.00Feb 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?$50.00Feb 23, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $49.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.