Optimal-Will
0xe971a3c634b614ca66e05911a97d0562b63d2413
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.11
Total PnL
$-8.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$3.96
$2.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 26, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.93Feb 20, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.29Feb 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.00Feb 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.89Feb 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".