Late-Oleo
0xe97b7c078ed4b155b45f42e9d1b6e03613ca65e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-414.80
Realised
$27.11
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1466 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
1077 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?
563 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.34Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States leading at halftime?$6.06Jun 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.04Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$2.04Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$3.06Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$3.66Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.05Jun 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on June 13?$0.94Jun 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.81Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.03Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$1.02Jun 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$3.02Jun 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.03Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$1.02Jun 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.04Jun 12, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.01Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.