Kindhearted-Lard
0xe97d0465e38288eef2aa730c6a7c567ef973622b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-573.57
Realised
$2.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1448 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?
996 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-105.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
356 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
212 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-119.28
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
149 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
63 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?$6.46Jan 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$6.46Jan 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$363.54Jan 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$44.83Nov 8, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$11.10Nov 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$11.10Nov 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$53.55Nov 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$53.55Nov 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$14.18Nov 6, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$14.18Nov 6, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$11.82Nov 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$11.82Nov 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$13.60Nov 4, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$10.00Nov 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$5.00Nov 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$140.00Nov 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$30.90Nov 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$25.00Nov 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$148.60Oct 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$148.60Oct 30, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.