Verifiable-Experiment
0xe9889e88522ecd79d1723d00ccc2ac2effe7cd5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$109.59
Total PnL
$-511.46
Realised
$-1.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
110 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$109.59
$51.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
2237 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1172 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
595 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
574 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
495 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
338 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
298 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
218 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-98.47
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Jan 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$59.00Jan 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?$200.00Jan 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$222.97Jan 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$100.00Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$100.00Jan 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$200.00Jan 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$200.00Jan 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$105.28Jan 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$100.00Jan 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.33Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.02Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.45Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.60Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.64Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.63Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.20Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.12Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".