Impractical-Flipflops
0xe98c0541abbc58e1cc748b940d6c2f82ce17893c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-624.31
Realised
$25.18
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1032 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.42
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
650 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
518 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
476 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-57.17
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
390 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-76.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
385 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.09
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
380 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
365 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-51.13
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
190 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$16.27Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$8.66Jul 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$18.42Jul 6, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$22.73Jun 29, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.27Jun 29, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.05Jun 29, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.16Jun 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$7.49Jun 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$1.02Jun 15, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$13.00Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$29.09Jun 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-16?$29.09Jun 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$30.13Jun 9, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$23.89Jun 9, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$21.46Jun 9, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$26.05Jun 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$49.32Jun 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$29.89Jun 7, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.43Jun 7, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.62Jun 7, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $32.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.