Ill-Informed-Corn
0xe98e1f6e463d419b5aff415dce56ffac49caa597
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-201.79
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
69249 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-237.80
- YES
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
12538 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?
3041 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-163.46
- YES
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?
2634 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-91.60
- YES
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
1893 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-51.18
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
791 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-295.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Thank you" 5+ times during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?
600 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-134.71
- YES
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
517 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-88.16
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
323 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Military" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?
239 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$23.28May 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$16.13May 24, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$5.12May 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$5.12May 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$10.50May 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$11.55May 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$11.70May 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$11.50May 23, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$11.55May 23, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$20.54May 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$20.46May 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$47.68May 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by June 30?$16.00May 14, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$31.50May 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$29.97May 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$63.00May 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$30.40May 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$18.57May 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$18.48May 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$12.80May 6, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $69.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.