Shady-Restaurant
0xe990b4fd398c8768e71ba428a8e634fa5d04f18d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.69
Realised
$14.58
Win rate
100%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 3?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C or below on March 9?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 4?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on March 9?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on March 9?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 2?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on March 3?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 4?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 3?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 16?$4.95Mar 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 16?$2.55Mar 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?$2.58Mar 15, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?$1.55Mar 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.29Mar 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.80Mar 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.29Mar 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.74Mar 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.43Mar 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.85Mar 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.90Mar 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.75Mar 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.40Mar 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.63Mar 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.32Mar 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.73Mar 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.00Mar 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.56Mar 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.50Mar 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.17Mar 12, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
62 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.