Adolescent-Sunlight
0xe99100d4dec428ca179d8fcb0b891afa56509969
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-724.35
Realised
$8.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1000 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.80
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
450 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.74
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
350 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.50
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
250 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.04
- YES
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
150 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-62.25
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
100 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-26.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
100 shares @ 81.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-81.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$27.00Feb 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$2.20Feb 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy join the Board of Peace?$4.60Feb 20, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 20, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$22.00Jan 25, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLICE shooter charged by March 31?$11.79Jan 25, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy join the Board of Peace?$19.00Jan 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$12.00Jan 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$49.00Jan 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$84.00Jan 25, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$32.00Jan 25, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$8.73Jan 25, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$94.00Jan 25, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$25.00Jan 25, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$96.50Jan 16, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$60.00Jan 14, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$48.00Jan 11, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$72.18Jan 11, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$78.00Jan 11, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $39.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".