Potable-Validate
0xe991d4e763b45c5af99810da8387176adc123e2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.05
Total PnL
$-624.00
Realised
$-60.82
Win rate
0%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 33.7¢·now 29.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.32
$-4.68
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1053 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
195 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
52 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?$3.85Aug 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?$1.03Aug 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?$1.03Aug 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?$2.05Aug 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión end in a draw?$2.05Aug 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.04Aug 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$1.03Aug 15, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?$0.00Aug 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.17Aug 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.24Aug 15, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$13.89Aug 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?$1.04Aug 15, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.22Aug 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?$1.04Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Reign FC vs. Chicago Stars FC end in a draw?$1.04Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Utah Royals FC vs. Bay FC end in a draw?$1.04Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AD San Carlos vs. CS Herediano end in a draw?$1.03Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi vs. RNK Veres Rivne end in a draw?$3.45Aug 14, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al-Nasr Dubai CSC vs. Ittihad Kalba FC end in a draw?$5.26Aug 14, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.06Aug 14, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 132 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
132 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.