Remote-Neonate
0xe9946ae2fb496773638a68cb4c0464f0336bb739
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
21176 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
2234 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-402.03
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?
1995 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-39.90
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
642 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-129.75
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Tuesday Oct 15?
303 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-27.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$117.29Nov 11, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$0.17Nov 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iran on Tuesday Oct 15?$27.60Oct 14, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $USDT depeg by September 30?$39.90Sep 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$1.0KSep 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$2.11Sep 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$402.03May 24, 23:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.05Mar 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$80.00Mar 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$49.75Mar 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ETH hit $3,000 in February?$49.75Feb 19, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $3,000 in February?$29.99Feb 18, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $167.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.