Knobby-Alluvium
0xe9957e8724b17c50f8684ace7025c4f8a42e1e98
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.76
Total PnL
$-720.16
Realised
$20.31
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 16?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 23, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
88 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5
67 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
54 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.27May 28, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$2.43May 28, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Bucks$6.12May 28, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5$6.25May 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$9.80Feb 11, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$9.80Feb 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?$10.00Feb 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5$23.35Feb 7, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Thunder$23.35Feb 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Thunder$43.05Feb 7, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5$11.11Feb 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5$31.00Feb 7, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$37.01Feb 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.10Feb 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$15.83Feb 7, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$47.98Feb 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$47.98Feb 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$58.03Feb 7, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$19.07Feb 7, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.