Well-Informed-Hassock-Article
0xe99e22214c969e59beddb0dc5e91ece2b88b8ea8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-49.69
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
900 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-661.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-197.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
500 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-119.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
500 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-253.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
500 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-165.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
500 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-123.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
400 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-240.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
400 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-290.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
400 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-183.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
300 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-89.40
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.35Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$78.47Jul 22, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$86.23Jul 22, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$296.79Jul 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$90.00Jul 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$90.00Jul 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$87.84Jul 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$95.73Jul 22, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$84.85Jul 22, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$57.72Jul 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$65.38Jul 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$265.62Jul 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$82.06Jul 22, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$81.07Jul 22, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$81.12Jul 22, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$298.98Jul 22, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$66.59Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$66.59Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$66.59Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $99.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.