Awesome-Beach
0xe99e5505c924d62f4238fafbea00bc22f9dfe52d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.96
Total PnL
$-119.78
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.98
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8AM ET
240 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-119.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Apr 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Apr 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Apr 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Apr 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.97Apr 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Mar 27, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.97Mar 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.94Mar 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.94Mar 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.93Mar 19, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.94Mar 11, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 8AM ET$119.81Mar 10, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 2AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 2AM ET$10.00Nov 12, 07:48 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 2AM ET$10.00Nov 10, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 9PM ET$0.00Nov 10, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 9PM ET$8.00Nov 10, 10:30 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - November 7, 9PM ET$8.00Nov 7, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $11.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.