Bite-Sized-Turnip
0xe9bbbeac4b9c59fb0c65c5333c5ae57257c8f1f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-24.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
40 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.00
$10.20
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 60 or more times during next White House press briefing?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.99May 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.55May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.84May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.39May 26, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.13May 24, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$14.80May 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$7.58May 23, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$7.42May 23, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$11.83May 23, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Alto Knights' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?$17.24May 23, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$30.52May 23, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$11.00Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Alto Knights' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?$15.00Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$15.00Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$15.00Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt say "president" 60 or more times during next White House press briefing?$20.00Mar 22, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 22, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?$31.85Mar 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?$20.00Nov 9, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.00Nov 9, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.