Authorized-Grenade
0xe9d0d1fd18f6de716506ce3c047a6c2215b91af8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$79.63
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
955 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
894 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-16.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
879 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
817 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-93.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
793 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-198.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
764 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-199.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
735 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
594 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
455 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$15.44Feb 16, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.07Feb 16, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.67Feb 16, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$37.84Feb 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$20.97Feb 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$19.26Feb 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".