Smoggy-Castle
0xe9d69599a8769ec33421d32b5a5a1391fcb2e6e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$13.76
Total PnL
$-25.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101 shares @ 12.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.56
$-1.46
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
15918 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
8248 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
4126 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2292 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2064 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2058 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $13.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".