Celebrated-Conception
0xe9d6aef488c17f0b225fd5b43598e03dd2d41107
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$12.09
Total PnL
$-38.48
Realised
$2.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Argentina leading at halftime?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
92 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.45
$1.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
5004 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MENTALITY MONSTER
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?
6 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
6 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.64Jun 17, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina leading at halftime?$8.03Jun 17, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.90Jun 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.02Jun 17, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.02Jun 17, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.26Jun 17, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Jun 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.04Jun 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.05Jun 17, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.04Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.13Jun 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.01Jun 17, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.