Kosher-Vegetation
0xe9deca7d9bc8334001206641b8ffa5ebaf88009d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-721.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 21?
22 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$22.22
$0.20
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" during the next White House Press Briefing?
576 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-132.42
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
400 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-304.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
308 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?
292 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-67.16
- NO
Will "GOAT" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
223 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?
194 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.42
- MANSFIELD TOWN FC
Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5)
167 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.06
- YES
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
159 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.5 on February 13, 2026?
159 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 21?$22.02Jul 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 3?$19.20Jun 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?$12.53Jun 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?$12.45May 28, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?$80.58Apr 11, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?$130.36Apr 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?$0.28Mar 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?$102.70Mar 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)$16.05Mar 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Hormuz" during the next White House Press Briefing?$132.42Mar 25, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMVfL Bochum vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5$214.89Mar 23, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?$110.78Mar 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYVfL Bochum vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5$161.17Mar 19, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?$67.16Mar 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5)$12.06Mar 2, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?$108.58Feb 25, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.93Feb 21, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?$105.54Feb 21, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Birk Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$109.51Feb 21, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Birk Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$104.69Feb 19, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $47.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 14:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.