0xe9e0cc09d285affd256387d44828f31f48cc8d55
0xe9e0cc09d285affd256387d44828f31f48cc8d55
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$10.37
Total PnL
$-177.52
Realised
$-6.66
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
10 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$10.37
$0.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
198 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
198 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
99 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
99 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
98 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
42 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
38 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$6.91May 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.05May 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$4.06May 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$4.98May 14, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$14.46May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.01May 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.89May 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.92May 14, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$14.39May 14, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.19May 14, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$6.88May 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.99May 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.88May 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$4.99May 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.52May 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.85May 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.95May 14, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.03May 14, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$4.95May 14, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.00May 14, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.