Jealous-Focus
0xe9ee7293894564d1e2607d928abfd3e98642d947
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.5K
Realised
$-9.3K
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
33652 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.5K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
17455 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
13680 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-483.82
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
9867 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
7640 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.19
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?
6744 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-206.21
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
6193 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-557.35
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5899 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-354.68
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
5529 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-237.76
- NO
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$523.19Feb 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$77.00Feb 22, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Final - Canada vs. USA$600.20Feb 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Final - Canada vs. USA$282.38Feb 21, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$282.38Feb 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$197.50Nov 5, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$10.00Nov 5, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 4 swing states?$15.00Nov 5, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 6 swing states?$25.00Nov 5, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $35.60Nov 5, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$56.18Nov 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$55.72Nov 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$190.36Nov 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$190.36Nov 5, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$570.32Nov 3, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$1.3KNov 2, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$349.63Nov 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$2.2KNov 2, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.05Oct 28, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$5.00Oct 28, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $329.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.