Each-Compassion
0xe9f53b1d97a1d6257eb3ecfa2970ced43b99cffc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.62
Total PnL
$-137.40
Realised
$22.22
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.62
$7.12
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
305 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
289 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
162 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
155 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.82Apr 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$9.52Jan 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$10.00Jan 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$2.50Jan 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$3.58Jan 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$7.69Jan 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 14, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 14, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.00Jan 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.