Violent-Signature
0xe9fbf98d5429d5bf8843021822e8f5df2b4adbd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$271.68
Total PnL
$-52.56
Realised
$-2.35
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
9000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.00
$-28.89
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
94 shares @ 12.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.18
$-0.82
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.78
$-3.22
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
46 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
12 shares @ 33.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in August?$1.02Jul 28, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$1.62Jul 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?$1.00Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 29?$1.19Jul 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 29?$1.01Jul 28, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 29?$0.94Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 29?$1.01Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.05Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.77Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$0.96Jul 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$0.24Jul 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.