Prime-Spine
0xea00bfbe1b061198d65cced82cf1d909df3f5523
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-218.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
701 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
133 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1?
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$16.10Jun 22, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$10.54Jun 21, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$34.29Jun 21, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$42.26Jun 21, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$5.15Jun 21, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.27Jun 21, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$12.23Jun 21, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$10.11Jun 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$10.27Jun 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1?$49.92Jun 1, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$125.02May 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$185.51May 29, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$57.26May 29, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$20.76May 29, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$40.07May 29, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$18.97May 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.35May 4, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$19.38May 4, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.40May 4, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $44.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.