Oblong-Butterfly
0xea00e066ddf125e7b088c6de629053e4f20442e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$230.00
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$230.00
$50.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
18308 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-563.23
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$184.91May 21, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$64.86Mar 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$4.90Mar 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$1.76Mar 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$15.00Mar 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$19.80Mar 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$1.76Mar 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$7.35Mar 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$7.50Mar 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$24.00Mar 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$0.88Mar 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$0.75Mar 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$0.75Mar 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$0.68Mar 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 11?$3.89Mar 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$2.12Mar 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$1.01Mar 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$0.28Mar 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$0.48Mar 11, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$0.96Mar 11, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".