Unaware-Picturesque
0xea01b63f807f71a196b961ba74d14b54758ec386
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-512.14
Realised
$623.26
Win rate
83%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 31?
38767 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.77
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 27?
37472 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-37.47
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 10?
28651 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 25?
16878 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 24?
15898 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 5?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 31?
10992 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$290.62Mar 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$6.30Feb 25, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$0.10Feb 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$40.65Feb 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$3.50Feb 25, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$0.75Feb 25, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$2.56Feb 25, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$14.90Feb 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$4.57Feb 25, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$1.13Feb 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$1.13Feb 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$21.00Feb 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$9.00Feb 25, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$0.04Feb 25, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$1.06Feb 25, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$1.02Feb 25, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$0.00Feb 25, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$0.10Feb 25, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$0.01Feb 25, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$0.30Feb 25, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.