Crafty-Dust
0xea08d87da08b51c84932d86e225b4bbd0bdee40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-86.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?
81 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$81.02
$0.32
- NO
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.08
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 2?
761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 11?
743 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?
696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?
695 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?
640 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 2-8?
635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$80.72Jun 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi$7.61Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.71Jun 1, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 30?$14.11Jun 1, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$62.53Jun 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$62.47May 31, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$62.47May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$62.41May 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$61.92May 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$62.01May 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$9.02May 30, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$10.00May 30, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$4.09May 30, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$85.63May 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$85.54May 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 30?$14.10May 29, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$99.64May 29, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$99.55May 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$98.89May 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$99.00May 28, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $81.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".