Inconsequential-Chowder
0xea0d09c4861ab167495cf84af23a026348975057
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$620.37
Realised
$-4.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
3804 shares @ 62.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$400.57
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
1308 shares @ 65.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$233.19
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
2405 shares @ 48.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$938.00
$-228.28
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1893 shares @ 42.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$842.36
$31.49
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1871 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$832.59
$9.35
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 77.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$632.00
$12.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
674 shares @ 60.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$512.55
$104.77
- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?
533 shares @ 46.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.06
$27.87
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
334 shares @ 43.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$145.10
$-0.84
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 60.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.51
$33.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$660.37Jul 13, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$97.87Jul 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$124.50Jul 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$303.51Jul 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$12.79Jul 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$65.40Jul 12, 06:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$6.10Jul 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$34.88Jul 11, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$55.27Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$30.00Jul 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$0.98Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$78.78Jul 10, 01:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$42.00Jul 9, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $120.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.