Vivid-Maximum
0xea0d0badc72aa159f92a6dfdf158d5d3c7b3caeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-311.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
1008 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
113 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
32 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.84
- YES
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?
31 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.95
- YES
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
21 shares @ 84.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
19 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$5.65Jun 16, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Uruguay (-1.5)$5.65Jun 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Uruguay (-1.5)$4.72Jun 15, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Belgium (-2.5)$4.74Jun 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Belgium (-2.5)$3.96Jun 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$3.94Jun 15, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$8.13Jun 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$8.12Jun 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$11.11Jun 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLHSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu$10.99Jun 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$3.04Jun 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu$15.07Jun 14, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell$3.29Jun 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell$6.49Jun 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$9.81Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmoh$5.14Jun 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$7.89Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmoh$5.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$10.04Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.67Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.