Spry-Break
0xea14c4f3cf48f60f2aee223508ab9c76be5596f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$5.60May 2, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$9.99May 1, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 in April?$2.01May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in April?$3.01May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$3.01May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in April?$7.01May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$7.03May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$0.00Apr 20, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?$0.00Apr 20, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?$0.00Apr 20, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?$7.41Apr 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $250 in April?$2.00Apr 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in April?$5.00Apr 16, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?$2.01Apr 14, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 500-524 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 14, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025?$5.00Apr 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$1.20Apr 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?$2.00Apr 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?$2.00Apr 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?$2.00Apr 9, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.