Forthright-Cupcake
0xea1bdbee7ba2d6f56441b4ad1708dc66830da13a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.79
Realised
$4.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 24?
452 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?
111 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 24?
37 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-16.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 24?
16 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$16.80Mar 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$17.79Mar 3, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.08Feb 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.08Feb 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.33Feb 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.33Feb 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.33Feb 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$20.33Feb 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$14.08Feb 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.00Feb 25, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$18.08Feb 25, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$17.23Feb 25, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.65Feb 25, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".