Authentic-Thermometer
0xea2557e7b81966e3cfc0165059a29995ccb233da
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$80.46
Total PnL
$-73.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$40.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on October 29?
40 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$40.20
$0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?
700 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- ALCARAZ
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
21 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$2.00Nov 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$2.00Nov 16, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev$2.50Oct 30, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on October 29?$20.00Oct 29, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on October 29?$20.00Oct 29, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 29, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev$2.00Oct 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 27?$70.00Oct 27, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $19.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".