Steep-Tenant
0xea25b1446db632c764ede5126e5f4cec6f2dd3aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$139.25
Total PnL
$-541.22
Realised
$25.98
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
227 shares @ 28.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.66
$68.10
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
3 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.00
$2.49
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
13 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-1.17
- NO
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$0.10
- NO
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$0.06
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$0.20
- YES
Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
3 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
391 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-289.34
- NO
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
382 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-136.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
124 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?$2.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$57.00May 7, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$1.32Feb 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$22.40Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$44.10Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$56.35Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMOver $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.00Jan 12, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $15M one day after launch?$131.00Jan 12, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$134.40Jan 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$130.56Jan 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$155.40Jan 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$136.76Jan 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$145.04Jan 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$263.61Jan 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$14.26Jan 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$6.24Jan 11, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
29/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $100.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.