Annual-Discussion
0xea276e729b7697eba71ce942e7597d20ace0df08
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Virginia be the tipping point state?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
500 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
500 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
246 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.17
- YES
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?
100 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will Trump win another state by the largest margin?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$78.16Nov 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$19.56Nov 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$253.94Nov 13, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$651.32Nov 12, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$0.00Nov 10, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 7 swing states?$100.00Nov 10, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$149.41Nov 10, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$224.00Nov 10, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$433.33Nov 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$5.30Nov 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$2.79Nov 9, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 8, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 8, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$100.00Nov 8, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the election be called on Nov 5? $0.00Nov 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$157.44Nov 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$517.54Nov 7, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$2.00Oct 26, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".