Naive-Makeover
0xea2cbefd0267563dab15e04eea407be1c89882d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$203.83
Total PnL
$-118.69
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
192 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$192.48
$1.16
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
11 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.78
$1.36
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$191.33Mar 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$194.33Mar 12, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.42Mar 12, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$9.42Mar 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$189.54Feb 28, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$185.00Feb 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$175.01Feb 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$179.55Feb 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$169.79Feb 16, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$100.00Feb 16, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$69.79Feb 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$65.60Feb 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$28.93Feb 9, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 8?$30.00Feb 9, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$9.41Feb 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 8?$21.60Feb 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $66.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".