Clumsy-Labor
0xea2e589b110d46822bde88ff6636ac56a96cbd26
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$188.50
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on July 30 at 5PM ET?
5063 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-249.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 1 at 5PM ET?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on July 23 at 5PM ET?
3756 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-760.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 9 at 5PM ET?
3017 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-25.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4000 on August 10 at 5PM ET?
3000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3400 on August 3 at 5PM ET?
2100 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-541.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 1 at 5PM ET?
1617 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-331.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 25 at 5PM ET?
1501 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-250.01
- YES
Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
1173 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-17.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4800 on August 16 at 5PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 28?$8.79Aug 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 27, 4AM ET$8.50Aug 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ET$9.80Aug 27, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ET$6.00Aug 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 27, 1AM ET$9.70Aug 27, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 27, 1AM ET$8.50Aug 27, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 11PM ET$91.00Aug 27, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 10PM ET$4.29Aug 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 10PM ET$99.00Aug 27, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 10PM ET$99.12Aug 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4400 on August 26 at 4PM ET?$10.00Aug 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET$100.00Aug 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET$5.11Aug 25, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET$3.40Aug 25, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET$3.66Aug 25, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET$0.33Aug 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET$16.50Aug 25, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET$0.57Aug 25, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET$1.70Aug 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET$8.51Aug 25, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 28, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.