Kindly-Poison
0xea30ea89c263cf761d298b3624565ef39fad83de
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.78
Total PnL
$-51.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 2.5%?
2219 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
1603 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.5% and 4.0%?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$2.00Jan 28, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?$1.99Jan 26, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?$1.98Jan 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 22, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$2.05Jan 22, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?$1.00Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?$1.00Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$1.00Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$1.00Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 2.5%?$1.00Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?$1.50Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$1.50Jan 17, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".