Imaginative-Respect
0xea3427cee08ee576ad8511b12158015b932c33bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$117.58
Total PnL
$-902.59
Realised
$-52.46
Win rate
1%
102 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$21.30
$6.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$14.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20?
22 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$14.56
$-0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$14.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?
46 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$13.83
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$13.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?
26 shares @ 48.6¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$12.24
$-0.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$9.85
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$2.30
$-2.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.82
$-14.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$5.00Aug 19, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$6.74Aug 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?$8.21Aug 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?$2.40Aug 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?$2.46Aug 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?$4.52Aug 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?$15.26Aug 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?$15.23Aug 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?$15.46Aug 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?$0.02Aug 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?$1.22Aug 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?$11.00Aug 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?$2.81Aug 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?$15.23Aug 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?$15.45Aug 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20?$3.86Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$2.33Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$2.33Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$15.53Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$2.80Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 102 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
102 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 102 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.