Smart-Rebellion
0xea3885a92ed9a6760c989b16742a6c271804af81
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
28000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
17700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
3413 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$7.47Mar 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$40.00Mar 31, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$52.66Mar 31, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$55.00Mar 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-03-31?$55.82Mar 31, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-03-31?$58.00Mar 31, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$30.00Mar 31, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$0.00Mar 29, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$46.00Mar 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?$28.00Mar 21, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLDems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?$0.34Mar 20, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?$1.98Mar 20, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.64Mar 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$40.00Mar 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?$0.25Mar 20, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $26.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.