0xea3e5862394fdab1fc8dc72277a70563962daaea
0xea3e5862394fdab1fc8dc72277a70563962daaea
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$8.56
Total PnL
$-25.62
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$2.68
$1.58
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.53
$0.43
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.45
$0.35
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.36
$0.26
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
12 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 6.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.44
$-0.66
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
19 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
12 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin above 66,200 on August 17, 6PM ET?$0.00Aug 17, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.17Aug 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 66,200 on August 17, 6PM ET?$1.17Aug 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.16Aug 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.17Aug 17, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.14Aug 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.17Aug 17, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$11.11Aug 17, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.19Aug 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.16Aug 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.17Aug 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.16Aug 17, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMZCash Up or Down - August 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.11Aug 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.12Aug 17, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.