Liquid-Toughguy
0xea42347f00268f5c43c212cbf78de252f2e81ff2
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$21.16
Total PnL
$-79.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$15.00
$4.05
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Bulls
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$6.16
$0.55
- YES
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?
10057 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025?
8654 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
7054 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will Wealthfront's market cap be less than $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
5690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.69
- YES
Will Wealthfront not IPO by December 31, 2025?
2062 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
1343 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1254 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1031 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$15.07Jan 27, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$7.93Jan 27, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$6.03Jan 27, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$18.00Jan 27, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Bulls$5.61Jan 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$8.46Jan 27, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$7.47Jan 27, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.12Jan 27, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$10.95Jan 27, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$5.00Jan 5, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$9.00Jan 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 12?$5.24Jan 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.82Jan 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$8.73Dec 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$2.94Dec 28, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$9.04Dec 28, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$3.13Dec 28, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$1.37Dec 28, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Dec 28, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Dec 28, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".