Serene-Young
0xea4250afda04bb73c17002b803480aad35fa38f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$10.83
Total PnL
$-31.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.36
$-0.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.15May 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.12May 5, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.07May 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.06May 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.07May 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.07May 3, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.08May 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.14May 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.06May 3, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.06May 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.07May 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.06May 3, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.39May 1, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.13May 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.04May 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.05May 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.04May 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.13May 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.05May 1, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.