Coarse-Reply
0xea43833804dfd196e3d4d002895c61e48660828b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-98.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?
5681 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
5268 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-126.42
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?
3716 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3404 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-137.00
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
2938 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-136.09
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1538 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-124.00
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
923 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-175.01
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
694 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-60.86
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
651 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-204.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$885.78May 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$294.77Apr 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$306.21Apr 15, 18:31 UTC
- REWARD$1.96Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$60.86Apr 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$28.20Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$146.81Apr 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$126.42Apr 1, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$200.96Nov 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.51Nov 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.81Nov 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$707.00Nov 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$292.80Nov 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$292.80Nov 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$89.18Nov 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$9.00Oct 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$120.00Oct 3, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$115.00Oct 3, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$17.00Oct 3, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?$136.09Jun 1, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $137.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".