Fast-Dirt
0xea4c609ae8fdd9ea291b39dcf7b9a4b9c83bf579
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.69
Total PnL
$-2.35
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 21?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 104-105°F on July 23?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on July 23?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on July 23?$0.03Jul 23, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on July 23?$0.10Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 22?$0.15Jul 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 22?$0.10Jul 22, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 22?$0.04Jul 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 88°F or higher on July 23?$0.02Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 23?$0.01Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?$0.07Jul 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 23?$0.10Jul 22, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.